Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
2pts Leicester to score 2+ goals v Palace at 21/10
1pt Salomon Rondon to score anytime v Huddersfield at 3/1
1pt Tottenham to win and under 3.5 total goals at 5/4
1pt Bournemouth to take more corners than Wolves at 19/10
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
3pm fixtures
Crystal Palace v Leicester
Roy Hodgson's Crystal Palace started the season poorly and have now failed to win 10 of their last 11 matches.
As we correctly predicted, they got their first home victory of the season last time out at Selhurst Park, but they have since lost back-to-back games and it looks like that run could be extended to three.
The Eagles' star man Wilfried Zaha is suspended - and they rarely win without the Ivorian - while Christian Benteke is injured, leaving Hodgson short in attack.
Leicester should therefore see this as a good chance to bounce back from a two-match winless run, with or without Jamie Vardy. The forward has missed the Foxes' last two games and, at the time of writing, it remains to be seen whether he will feature in south east London. Regardless, Claude Puel's side should have enough to claim all three points.
They have multiple options in attack, including James Maddison who has scored in two of his last three games and is around 16/5 anytime, but the preference is to back the visitors to score two or more.
Palace are 19th in the home league table, scoring just four and conceding eight, while Leicester are the division's best away side outside of the 'big six'. Coupled with Zaha's suspension, it all points towards a good afternoon for the Foxes.
Considering they are around 2/1 to win, Leicester to score twice or more here is a tempting 21/10 chance which comes with insurance in the event of a high-scoring draw. This bet worked well for Leicester's win over Watford last month and it should prove good value again.
Super 6 prediction: Crystal Palace 0-2 Leicester (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: Leicester to score 2+ goals v Palace at 21/10
Opta facts and statistics
- Crystal Palace are looking to record three consecutive top-flight wins against Leicester for the first time, following home and away victories in 2017-18.
- Leicester City have won just three of their last 14 games at Selhurst Park in all competitions (D5 L6), with the most recent of these coming in the 2015-16 season when the Foxes won the Premier League (1-0).
- Crystal Palace have lost 10 of their 16 Premier League games this season, only Fulham have lost more (11). Indeed, it’s one more than the Eagles had lost at this stage last season, despite losing their opening seven matches in 2017-18.
- Leicester have scored in each of their last nine Premier League away games; only once have they had a longer such run in the competition (12 between January-September 2016).
Click the image below to get the goals, cards and corner statistics to assist you with your bets this weekend...
Huddersfield v Newcastle
Huddersfield have won just once on home turf while Newcastle have been victorious just once away from St James' Park so far this season.
Rafa Benitez's side put in a valiant away performance at Everton in their last match on the road before losing to Wolves at home last week, much to the displeasure of the Magpies boss who called for the introduction of VAR after some questionable decisions.
They were unfortunate to lose and have reasons to be confident of claiming all three points in West Yorkshire - especially after Aaron Mooy was ruled out for the hosts. The Australian midfielder is their star man and has been sidelined until February with a knee injury, a cruel blow at a crucial time in the season.
This may not be a thriller but the 9/4 price for an away win does catch the eye, while Newcastle draw no bet at just above evens gives you more leeway should there be any doubt.
There was some temptation to back Ayoze Perez in a score and win double at a best price of 6/1, but the Spanish forward's better recent form seems to have come in front of his own fans and the preference is to count on Salomon Rondon.
The Venezuelan forward has popped up with some important strikes, three in his last five appearances in the Premier League, and 13 shots in his last three games highlight a persistent threat. His direct, bustling style can cause Huddersfield's defence issues and a best price of 3/1 to score anytime is worth a small play here.
Super 6 prediction: Huddersfield 0-1 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds: 13/2)
Best bet: Salomon Rondon to score anytime v Huddersfield at 3/1
Opta facts and statistics
- Huddersfield have won just two of their last 13 games against Newcastle in all competitions (D4 L7), however the most recent of those came in this fixture last season (1-0).
- This will be the fifth meeting between Huddersfield and Newcastle under current managers David Wagner and Rafa Benitez, with both sides winning two games apiece to date.
- The last five games between Huddersfield and Newcastle in the top-flight have seen just four goals scored, with three of those ending in draws (one win apiece).
- Though they’ve scored in their last three matches at home, Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in their last 13 Premier League home games. The last team to have a longer such run in the competition were Derby in 2007-08 (14 games).
- Newcastle United’s Premier League games have seen 35 goals scored this season, fewer than any other side (scored 13, conceded 22).
- 54% of Newcastle’s Premier League goals this season have been headed (7 of 13); the highest proportion in the division.
- Huddersfield Town’s top Premier League scorers this season are Zanka and Aaron Mooy (two goals) – the lowest-scoring top scorers at any club so far in 2018-19.
Tottenham v Burnley
Spurs managed to book their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League in midweek, thanks to an incredible draw in Barcelona, and Mauricio Pochettino will be out to avoid a hangover here.
A comfort for them is that they face a Burnley side who struggle on the road and the hosts can grind out a result at Wembley even if not at their best. It may not be pretty but, ahead of a busy period, results are most important as they look to push on in the top four and closer to title-chasing Liverpool and Man City.
They have been leading at half-time in their last four league games, but odds-on quotes look short enough and Spurs to win both halves at around 6/5 was slightly more tempting.
However, with the home side expected to win without necessarily impressing, under 3.5 total goals at 5/4 is the most eye-catching option.
It allows for a 2-1 or 3-0 scoreline and is worth considering due to the fact that two of Spurs' four games immediately after Champions League fixtures have been victories under this threshold - the other two were against top-six duo Man City and Arsenal.
Looking at unders in booking points is an option worth exploring due to both sides' low returns in recent games, while Heung-min Son is in a rich vein of form with three goals in his last five league appearances, but the match result and total goals is the way to go.
Super 6 prediction: Tottenham 1-0 Burnley (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best bet: Tottenham to win and under 3.5 total goals at 5/4
Opta facts and statistics
- Spurs have lost just one of their eight games against Burnley in the Premier League (W5 D2), with that lone defeat coming back in May 2010 (2-4 defeat under Harry Redknapp).
- Burnley are looking for their first away win against Spurs in any competition since January 1983 (4-1 in the League Cup quarter-final).
- Spurs are unbeaten in their six Premier League games against Burnley under Mauricio Pochettino (W4 D2), scoring 10 goals and conceding just three in return.
- Burnley have kept a clean sheet in just 18% of their top-flight games against Spurs (14/76).
- Burnley have picked up just six points from their last 30 available away from home in the Premier League (W1 D3 L6).
- None of Tottenham’s 16 Premier League games this season have ended in a draw – only Bolton Wanderers in 2011-12 (18) and Manchester United in 2012-13 (17) have had a longer run without a draw from the start of a Premier League campaign.
- Spurs striker Harry Kane has scored four goals in five Premier League appearances against Burnley, including a hat-trick in the most recent of those (3-0 in December 2017).
- After a run of 15 Premier League games without a goal from 18 shots, Son Heung-min has scored in three goals from 16 shots in his last four Premier League appearances for Tottenham Hotspur.
Watford v Cardiff
Cardiff are yet to get a win away from home since returning to the Premier League, collecting just one point in six attempts. The good news for Neil Warnock is that his side have won four at the Cardiff City Stadium and that will be key to their survival hopes.
Victory over Southampton last week will have given the Bluebirds a boost, while Watford played out a hard-earned draw at Everton in an entertaining 2-2 encounter on Monday which ended in deflating fashion as the hosts scored a last-gasp equaliser.
Javi Gracia's side are on a six-match winless run and will have to bounce back from that blow, but they're playing well and can return to winning ways at Vicarage Road on Saturday in what looks an ideal fixture.
Cardiff have lost their last five away games, so the bookies understandably favour the hosts and backing the Hornets to win and over 1.5 total goals is available at just over evens (21/20), which is a good option given their prowess in attack.
Watford's defence is something that needs to improve considering they have conceded in their last six games, while Cardiff have scored six in their last five, so adding this game to your both teams to score coupon is also worth considering.
Watford to win and BTTS at a general price of 11/4 is tempting, but match result and total goals is the preference for this one.
Super 6 prediction: Watford 2-1 Cardiff (Sky Bet odds: 2/1)
Best bet: Watford to win and over 1.5 total goals at 21/20
Opta facts and statistics
- This will be the first ever top-flight meeting between Watford and Cardiff, and the first in any competition since December 2014 (4-2 win for Watford in the second tier).
- Watford have lost their last two Premier League home games – they’ve not lost three in a row at home in the top-flight since April 1988 (a run of five in a row).
- Watford won their opening four games of the Premier League season and accumulated 12 points in these matches, but since then they have won just nine points from 12 games in the competition (W2 D3 L7) and only Huddersfield (8), Southampton (5) and Fulham (5) have won fewer in this period.
- Following their win against Southampton last week, Cardiff City are looking to secure consecutive top-flight victories for the first time since April 1962.
- This will be Cardiff manager Neil Warnock’s first game against Watford since November 2012, when his Leeds United side were beaten 6-1 by the Hornets in a Championship fixture.
- Troy Deeney is yet to score a goal against Cardiff City for Watford in six appearances, but should he score in this match then Cardiff will be the 45th different team that Deeney has scored against for the Hornets in all competitions.
Wolves v Bournemouth
Wolves' six-match winless streak is now a thing of the past after Nuno Espirito Santo's side eased the pressure with back-to-back victories.
It was surprising to see that run end against Maurizio Sarri's Chelsea and they followed that up with a late winner at Newcastle last week. They now welcome a Bournemouth side on a difficult run after facing Manchester United, Arsenal, Man City and Liverpool all since the start of November - the Cherries also come up against Chelsea next week.
Eddie Howe's side have performed well at times during this run, but shipping four against Liverpool last weekend may have harmed their confidence. Then again, there is no shame when last season's Golden Boot winner Mo Salah scores a hat-trick, and they will be hoping to join a number of teams who have left Molineux with points already this term.
Wolves have gained 11 points from a possible 24 on home turf since returning to the top flight and Bournemouth have won three of seven on the road. It is a difficult one to call and that is why the preference is to avoid the result.
Bournemouth are one of the Premier League's top corner takers, fourth with 94 in total this season, while Wolves are mid-table with 85 and it could be worth looking at overs in the corners market.
Wolves have taken just seven of the set pieces in their last two fixtures though and there should be plenty of chances at both ends, so backing Bournemouth to edge it in the corners count - as they did for us at Newcastle recently - is the value bet.
Super 6 prediction: Wolves 1-2 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best bet: Bournemouth to take more corners than Wolves at 19/10
Opta facts and statistics
- This will be the first ever top-flight meeting between Wolves and Bournemouth, and the first in any competition since March 2015 (2-1 win for Bournemouth in the Championship).
- Bournemouth have won each of their last three games against Wolves in all competitions, with each victory coming by the same 2-1 scoreline.
- Nine of the 11 games between Wolves and Bournemouth in all competitions have seen both sides score, including in each of the last seven fixtures.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers are looking to secure three consecutive top-flight league victories for the first time since March 1980.
- No side has won more Premier League games thanks to 90th minute goals this season than Wolves (two games, level with Manchester United). Before this season, Wolves had never scored a 90th minute winner in the Premier League.
- Each of Bournemouth’s last six Premier League goals have been scored in the first half of games, last scoring after half-time against Fulham on October 27th.
- Wolves’ have allowed their opponents goalscoring chances with an expected goals total of 15.0 this season – only Liverpool (12.4) and Manchester City (11.6) have managed a better defensive performance in the Premier League in 2018-19 after 16 games.
Click the image below to get the goals, cards and corner statistics to assist you with your bets this weekend...
Odds correct as of 1230 GMT on 13/12/18