Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt Watford (draw no bet) at 51/50
2pts West Ham to win and over 1.5 goals at 13/10
1pt Everton to win and both teams to score at 29/10
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Everton v Brighton
Everton have a great chance to make it three Goodison Park wins in a row in the Premier League when they host Brighton.
The Seagulls were the worst team in the division on the road last term, winning just two, drawing five and losing 12. It is something Chris Hughton will be well aware of, and keen to rectify, if they are to avoid the drop again this time around.
They won their last away match, but that was at struggling Newcastle, and their chances have been dismissed to the extent that they're 5/1 generally.
The Toffees can win their fourth match in five and backing them and both teams to score at nearly 3/1 looks like good value.
Another angle can be found in the various bookings markets.
Brighton have the second-highest yellow card tally (23, averaging 2.3 per game), while the Seagulls are also the most fouled team so far with 136 against them.
Everton, meanwhile, have conceded the most fouls (138) and over 40 booking points at above evens is worthy of consideration.
Super 6 prediction: Everton 2-1 Brighton (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)
Best bet: Everton to win and both teams to score at 29/10
Opta statistics
- Everton are unbeaten in their last four league meetings with Brighton (W2 D2) since a 3-1 away defeat in February 1982.
- Brighton have never won away at Everton in any competition, drawing two and losing four of their six visits.
- Everton have won their last two Premier League home games without conceding. They last won three in a row without reply in the competition in March 2017.
- Brighton have won their last three Premier League games, all by a 1-0 scoreline. The last team to win four in a row by this scoreline were Leicester in April 2016.
- Brighton are looking to win four consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since May 1981.
- Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Premier League games – more than they had in their previous 24 in the competition (2).
- Three of Everton’s last four Premier League goals at Goodison Park have been scored by substitutes – prior to this, only one of their previous 26 home league goals were netted by subs.
- Seven of Everton’s last eight Premier League goals have been scored in the second half of games.
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored five goals in his last six Premier League games – more than he had in his previous 31 for the Toffees in the competition (4).
- Glenn Murray has scored six of Brighton’s 11 Premier League goals in 2018-19 (55%), the only player to score more than half of his clubs’ goals in the competition this term.
Newcastle v Watford
They have had a dreadful start to the season, so can this be the game where Newcastle win for the first time in 11 Premier League attempts?
It feels like it is going to come eventually, but not this weekend. Javi Gracia's Watford have started the season so well and back-to-back clean sheet wins will give them added confidence travelling to Tyneside.
Newcastle have mustered just six goals this season - only Huddersfield have scored fewer - so a Watford win and both teams to score is risky.
All of Newcastle's points this season have come as a result of 0-0 draws against teams outside of the 'big six' so backing Watford to win in the draw no bet market at above evens looks like a good option should you want that added insurance.
Roberto Pereyra is a man full of confidence and he will be looking to score in three consecutive league games for the first time in his top-level career, and 11/2 in a score-and-win double catches the eye.
Super 6 prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Watford (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: Draw no bet - Watford at 51/50
Opta statistics
- After winning two and drawing two of their first four Premier League meetings with Watford, Newcastle have lost the last four in a row against the Hornets.
- Watford have won their last four Premier League meetings with Newcastle – only against Stoke (5 between 1983 and 2015) have they had a longer winning run against an opponent in the top-flight.
- Newcastle are winless in their 10 Premier League games so far this season – they’ve never failed to win any of their first 11 in a single top-flight campaign before.
- Newcastle have lost all five of their Premier League home games so far this season – no top-flight side have ever lost their first six, while the last side to do so in any division were Watford in 1990-91 (second tier).
- Watford have won their last two Premier League games without conceding – they last won three in a row without reply in December 2015.
- Watford have won seven points away from home in the Premier League this season (W2 D1 L1) – two more than they earned from their last 48 available on the road (W1 D2 L13).
- Newcastle have failed to score in four of their last five Premier League games, with their only goals in this run coming in the first 10 minutes of their 2-3 defeat at Man Utd.
- Watford’s Andre Gray has scored in both of his Premier League appearances against Newcastle, netting in both such games for the Hornets last season.
- Watford’s Roberto Pereyra has scored as many goals in 10 Premier League games this season as he did in 32 in the competition last season (5).
West Ham v Burnley
Two teams you would expect to be around mid-table come the end of the season, but two teams without a Premier League win in their last three outings and therefore with questions to answer.
Back-to-back games with Man City and Chelsea hasn't helped Burnley's case, with the Clarets being on the wrong end of a 9-0 aggregate scoreline, and West Ham have had a tough run of fixtures having hosted Chelsea, Manchester United and Tottenham in their last three home games.
They have a great chance of getting their third win of the campaign - with the other two coming against teams from the north west - and it is no surprise they are odds-on favourites. Adding 1.5 total goals into the mix boosts odds nicely up to 13/10.
The bookings market could be one to watch here too. Burnley have received 19 cautions in their last seven Premier League games, averaging just under three per match. West Ham, meanwhile, have the worst disciplinary record in the top flight this season with an average of 2.8 cards per game, so 50+ booking points at 9/4 looks like good value.
Super 6 prediction: West Ham 2-1 Burnley (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: West Ham to win and over 1.5 goals at 13/10
Opta statistics
- West Ham have won five of their eight Premier League meetings with Burnley (D1 L2), though they failed to win either encounter last season (D1 L1).
- Burnley won this exact fixture 3-0 last season, having lost their last five visits to West Ham in the top-flight.
- West Ham haven’t conceded more than once in any of their last seven Premier League matches, shipping six goals in total.
- Burnley have conceded 21 goals in their 10 Premier League matches this season – it took them 24 games to concede the same amount last term.
- Burnley’s last two Premier League games have ended 0-5 (vs Man City) and 0-4 (vs Chelsea). Only two teams have ever lost three consecutive Premier League games by a margin of 4+ goals (West Ham in March 2008, Wigan in August 2010).
- West Ham have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side so far this season (8).
- Burnley have conceded more goals from outside the box than any other Premier League side so far this season (6), with four of their last seven conceded coming from distance.
- No keepers have made more saves this season than West Ham’s Lukasz Fabianski or Burnley’s Joe Hart (44 each).
- Chris Wood was involved in all three of Burnley’s goals in their 3-0 win away against West Ham last season, scoring twice and assisting another in a 29-minute substitute appearance.
- Burnley boss Sean Dyche is unbeaten against West Ham’s Manuel Pellegrini, winning one and drawing one against Pellegrini’s Manchester City side in 2014-15.
Selections treble
- Everton, Watford and West Ham to win - available at 6.92/1 with Sky Bet
Soccer Saturday Super 6 is back once again this weekend, with Jeff's £250,000 up for grabs. To be in with a chance of scooping the lot, all you have to do is correctly predict six scorelines in the selected Premier League and Sky Bet Championship matches.
Will you scoop the jackpot? Entries by 1500 BST on Saturday (November 3).
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Odds correct as of 1200 GMT on 01/11/18