Sporting Life's Premier League preview package

Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs

By George Pitts

Football

Sat October 06, 2018 · 6y ago

Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.

Recommended bets

2pts Burnley to beat Huddersfield and under 3.5 total goals at 8/5

2pts Jamie Vardy to score and Leicester to win at 9/4

1pt Troy Deeney and Junior Stanislas both to score in Watford v Bournemouth at 17/2

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Burnley v Huddersfield

Like London buses, Burnley waited so long for their first win of the season then, once they got it, another came as the Clarets recorded back-to-back victories.

They can make it three in a row on Saturday when they come up against a Huddersfield side still searching for their first win and David Wagner's Terriers will hope their luck arrives in a similar fashion to Burnley's.

Johann Gudmundsson celebrates after scoring for Burnley against Cardiff

The Terriers have only picked up two points so far in seven fixtures. In their defence, they have had to face the likes of Chelsea, Man City, Tottenham and Everton - free hits, essentially - and they will know the importance of beating the teams around them in the near future.

Whether Burnley fall into that category remains to be seen. With no Europa League involvement the Clarets should pull clear of those fighting at the bottom and that should be helped with another three points here.

Sean Dyche will be keen to turn Turf Moor back into a fortress, while Huddersfield were one of the league's worst away teams last term and have already conceded 10 goals in three fixtures on the road this season.

The Lancashire side are just above evens to win this one, which looks a good price, while you can boost it to 8/5 in a Burnley to win and under 3.5 total goals bet.

Both Chris Wood and Matej Vydra have fared well against Town over the years (see Opta facts, below), so they could be worth backing in one of the scoring markets, available at 5/2 and 11/4 respectively in a score-and-win.

Super 6 prediction: Burnley 2-0 Huddersfield (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)

Best bet: Burnley to win and under 3.5 total goals at 8/5

Opta pre-match statistics

David Wagner: Is time up for Huddersfield in the Premier League this season?

Both Premier League meetings between Burnley and Huddersfield ended 0-0 last season with just 27 shots attempted across the two games, a joint-low for a fixture in 2017-18 (also 27 shots in games between Everton and Huddersfield).
Burnley are unbeaten in five league matches against Huddersfield (W3 D2 L0) since losing 2-1 in the Championship in November 2013.
Burnley scored more Premier League goals in their last home match against Bournemouth (4-0) than they had in their previous five combined at Turf Moor (3).
Huddersfield have lost their last four away league matches in October by an aggregate score of 1-13.
Huddersfield are winless in their last 11 Premier League games (D4 L7), scoring just four goals and failing to score seven times in that run. All four of their goals during that period have come away from home.
Burnley have scored with six of their last seven shots on target in the Premier League, after finding the net with just three of their first 15 this season.
Burnley striker Chris Wood has scored eight goals in all competitions against Huddersfield during his time in English football, three more than against any other opponent.
Burnley’s Matej Vydra has scored six goals in seven appearances against Huddersfield in all competitions, including a hat-trick in an FA Cup tie for Reading in January 2016.

Crystal Palace v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Talking of fortresses, Crystal Palace have struggled to make Selhurst Park just that this term, with the Eagles failing to score in three Premier League matches on home turf this season. They have lost two and picked up a point and Roy Hodgson will be conscious of the need to improve in front of their own fans.

It is not for the want of trying though, with Palace attempting 44 shots in those south east London fixtures - amazing to think they are yet to find the back of the net.

Jonny (left) celebrates his goal for Wolves against Southampton

They face a Wolves side who have so far won one, lost one and drawn one on the road since their top flight return and Nuno Espirito Santo should have a fully fit squad to choose from.

Wolves have a number of men to look to for inspiration and it was their substitutes as they left it late at home to Southampton last weekend.

The fact Hodgson's side are so far the league's lowest goalscorers outside of the bottom three is worrying for Eagles fans, and they are often guilty of relying on Wilfried Zaha for that moment of magic.

This could be an interesting clash and, with Palace's shooting stats so far, we are backing them to get on the score sheet while losing to a buoyed Wolves side.

Wolves to win and both teams to score is available at 5/1, but Wolves and over 2.5 total goals at just over 4/1 gives added insurance.

Super 6 prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)

Best bet: Wolves to win and over 2.5 goals at 41/10

Opta pre-match statistics

Wilfried Zaha is shown a yellow card by referee Anthony Taylor during Watford v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace and Wolves have never met in the Premier League before, with this the first top-flight game between the teams since January 1981.
If Crystal Palace fail to score, they will be the second team this season alone to fail to score in their opening four home Premier League games (after Huddersfield). This had only happened twice in the previous 119 English top-flight seasons combined before 2018-19 (West Brom in 1921-22 and Everton in 1998-99).
Wolves have won three of their last four Premier League games (D1) – as many as they had in their previous 39 in the top-flight (W3 D12 L24).
For Crystal Palace in the Premier League in 2018, only Wilfried Zaha (11) has been involved in more goals than Patrick van Aanholt (6 goals, 2 assists).
Wolves have scored a league-high 88% of their Premier League goals in the second half of games so far this season (7/8).
Although they haven’t scored in the Premier League at Selhurst Park this season, Crystal Palace have attempted 44 shots in home games, the same tally as Arsenal, who have scored seven goals.

Leicester City v Everton

Two sides who finished just outside the top seven last season, Saturday's King Power meeting sees eighth face 11th and the form book favours the hosts.

Claude Puel's side have won three of their last five, while Marco Silva's Everton have won just one in that time and will be looking to bounce back from a penalty shootout defeat to Southampton in the Carabao Cup in midweek.

Leicester celebrate Jamie Vardy's penalty at Newcastle

There is very little between the two sides overall, but the Foxes have looked impressive recently, including their away win at Newcastle last week, and the temptation is to side with them here.

They are 13/10 favourites with the bookies and the more attractive bet is siding with Jamie Vardy, who is expected to be fit after an injury scare last time out, in the scoring.

The former England striker scored in the St James' Park win, his third of the season. It was his second since returning from suspension, making it back to back games on the score sheet, while he also has an assist to his name and he remains central to this Leicester side.

Vardy can make it three Premier League games in a row, available at just over evens anytime but the preference here is in a score-and-win.

Super 6 prediction: Leicester 2-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)

Best bet: Jamie Vardy to score and Leicester to win at 9/4

Opta pre-match statistics

Gylfi Sigurdsson celebrates his second goal against Fulham

Leicester have lost just one of their last nine home Premier League matches against Everton (W3 D5), a 2-0 defeat on Boxing Day in 2016.
Everton have won three of their last four Premier League games against Leicester (L1) having won just four of their first 20 between September 1994 and May 2016 (D13 L3).
Leicester against Everton is the only fixture in Premier League history to have been played at least 20 times and seen more than 50% of those games end as draws (13 of 24, 54.2%), though none of the last six have been stalemates.
In the Premier League, the team scoring first in this fixture has never gone on to lose the match, with Everton doing so 15 times (W7 D8) and Leicester seven times (W4 D3).
Leicester have won three of their last four Premier League home games, as many as they had in their previous 11 in the competition at the King Power Stadium.
Everton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 Premier League away games, conceding exactly twice in all three on the road this season.
James Maddison has created more goalscoring opportunities (15) and had more shots (15) than any other Leicester player in the Premier League this season, while no player at the club has scored (3) or assisted (2) more goals than the midfielder.
Everton’s Theo Walcott has scored five Premier League goals against Leicester, only scoring more against West Ham (6).
Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has had a hand in six goals in six Premier League appearances against Everton (4 goals, 2 assists).
Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored three goals in his last three Premier League matches – more than he had in his previous 17 combined (2).

Tottenham Hotspur v Cardiff City

Cardiff City, still without a win since returning to the Premier League, go and get a result at Tottenham, still reeling from a home loss to Barcelona in the Champions League? Probably not, but it's a (slim) possibility as they look to make the most of Spurs' tough defeat at Wembley.

The feeling here, though, is that they will bounce back from their midweek disappointment and continue where they left off in the Premier League after entering the top four last week at the expense of Watford.

Harry Kane celebrates putting Spurs ahead at Huddersfield Town

In Cardiff's defence, they have so far had to come up against Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City already this season, followed closely by Spurs and Liverpool in two of their next three games. They desperately need points and the fixtures will be a little more kind to them from November onwards.

A tough match to find real value when backing the hosts - the north Londoners are so strongly fancied by the bookies that even a home win-to-nil is only just over evens. A real possibility against a low-scoring Bluebirds outfit on a spacious Wembley pitch

Mauricio Pochettino's side have scored a penalty in their last two games running and you can back the hosts to do so again at 3/1.

Or for greater odds, Spurs to win with a two-goal handicap gives you a best price of 9/5 or Tottenham to win by exactly three goals is available at 4/1.

Super 6 prediction: Tottenham 3-0 Cardiff (Sky Bet odds: 7/1)

Best bet: Tottenham to win to nil at 23/20

Opta pre-match statistics

Neil Warnock and Sean Dyche

This will be the third Premier League meeting between Spurs and Cardiff, with Spurs winning both matches 1-0 during the 2013-14 season.
Cardiff are winless in seven matches against Spurs in all competitions (W0 D2 L5), scoring just once in those matches, a Paul Went goal in a 2-1 league defeat in January 1978.
Spurs have won their last seven home matches in all competitions against Cardiff, scoring 19 goals and conceding just five.
Spurs have won 13 of their last 15 home league matches against Welsh sides (D2) since Cardiff won 2-0 in a top-flight match in November 1954.
This will be Cardiff’s first game at Wembley Stadium since the 2012 League Cup final against Liverpool – the Bluebirds lost on penalties following a 2-2 draw.
Tottenham are unbeaten in 37 Premier League games against promoted sides (W34 D3) since losing vs QPR in April 2012. The run is the second longest of its kind in the Premier League, after Chelsea’s record of 63 between May 2001 and September 2011.
Spurs lost their last home league game against Liverpool – they’ve not lost back-to-back Premier League home games since May 2015, vs Aston Villa and Man City at White Hart Lane.
Cardiff are winless in their seven Premier League games so far this season – only twice in their history have they failed to win any of their first eight games to a league campaign (1964-65 in the second tier and 1989-90 in the third division).
Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored against 26 of the 27 different sides he’s faced in the Premier League. The only side he’s yet to find the net against are Cardiff – he played just 16 minutes against them across two games in the 2013-14 campaign.
Of the 28 players to have scored 100 Premier League goals, Harry Kane is one of just two who has scored fewer home goals (54) than away (59) – Ryan Giggs is the other.

Watford v AFC Bournemouth

After such a promising start, Watford are now without a victory in four matches in all competitions and they have a great opportunity to return to winning ways on Saturday before going into the international break.

Watford players celebrate their win over Tottenham last month

Javi Gracia's side have been impressive on home turf this year, winning three including against Tottenham and losing once which was against Manchester United.

They face a Bournemouth side who shipped four at Burnley in their last away outing. Eddie Howe's side bounced back well with a Monday Night Football win over Crystal Palace, but Watford are favoured here.

Given both sides' styles of play, it could be an entertaining and open clash, so a home win with both teams scoring is tempting at 3/1.

Troy Deeney scored in that September win over Spurs and the 30-year-old has failed to find the back of the net since, but he is a Hornets hero and could be the man to lead them out of this poor run in front of the Vicarage Road crowd. He is available at 2/1 anytime or more favourably, for a nice return from small stakes, it could be worth backing both him and Bournemouth's in-form Junior Stanislas to get on the score sheet at 17/2.

Super 6 prediction: Watford 2-1 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)

Best bet: Watford to win and BTTS at 3/1

Opta pre-match statistics

Junior Stanislas celebrates his goal for Bournemouth

Watford have lost only once in their last 14 meetings with Bournemouth in all competitions (W6 D7).
Five of the six Premier League meetings between Watford and Bournemouth have ended as draws, with Watford winning the other 2-0 in August 2017.
Bournemouth’s only win in their last 17 visits in all competitions to Vicarage Road against Watford came in March 1997 in a third tier match (D9 L7).
After winning their first four Premier League games of the season, Watford are winless in their last three (D1 L2).
Watford haven’t lost consecutive home Premier League games since May 2017, when they lost against Liverpool and Man City.
Bournemouth have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last nine away league games, shipping 20 goals in total (2.2 per game).
Despite playing just 11 Premier League games in 2018, Junior Stanislas has scored five goals for Bournemouth, a tally bettered this calendar year by only Callum Wilson (6 goals in 24 games) and Josh King (8 in 22).
Should Bournemouth win, they will have 16 points from eight Premier League games – last season, it took them 16 matches to win 16 points.
Watford’s Roberto Pereyra has had a hand in seven goals in his last eight Premier League appearances at Vicarage Road (6 goals, 1 assist), though he hasn’t scored or assisted in either of his last two.
Watford striker Troy Deeney has had a hand in five goals in four league appearances against Bournemouth at Vicarage Road (4 goals, 1 assist), scoring a hat-trick in a 6-1 win in August 2013.