Sporting Life's Premier League preview package
Sporting Life's Premier League preview package

Premier League betting tips: Previews, latest odds, Super 6 predictions & best bets for December 5


Mark your card for Wednesday's evening kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.

Recommended bets

1pt Liverpool to win and under 3.5 total goals at 21/20

1pt Half with most goals in Everton v Newcastle - second at 11/10

1pt Andre Gomes to score anytime for Everton v Newcastle at 11/2

2pts Tottenham to score 2+ goals, 5+ Tottenham corners and 20+ Southampton booking points at 2/1


Fixtures

Burnley v Liverpool (1945 KO, click fixture to bet)

Everton v Newcastle (1945 KO)

Fulham v Leicester (1945 KO)

Wolves v Chelsea (1945 KO)

Manchester United v Arsenal (2000 KO)

Tottenham v Southampton (2000 KO)


Burnley v Liverpool

Jurgen Klopp celebrates Liverpool's victory over Everton

A match that could be harder than it looks on paper for Liverpool.

The Reds have had a tough week of fixtures, with a defeat at Paris Saint-Germain last Wednesday before a difficult Merseyside derby with Everton on Sunday, where they netted a rather fortunate injury-time winner.

Now they face a different type of game, against a Burnley side struggling this season and without a win in their last seven Premier League outings - and just two in total.

It started slowly for Sean Dyche's side with what looked like a tough schedule with Europa League qualifying sandwiched between their early league matches.

They were well beaten at Crystal Palace and it does not get any easier as they look to bounce back at Turf Moor against Liverpool. Dyche will know the task in hand and his side will look to make it difficult for the Merseysiders to find space in the final third.

Jurgen Klopp's side are yet to hit top gear, not the Liverpool we know under the German in the last couple of seasons, but they are grinding out those wins and that sort of luck helps make champions in a long season.

Finding value in a Liverpool win can be tough, but looking at the shots market could be the way to go with the Reds likely to pass the 20+ mark. Some Request-A-Bets catch the eye with greater odds, but we are keeping it simple here, with another Liverpool win, but a fairly low scoring one at above evens.

Super 6 prediction: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)

Best bet: Liverpool to win and under 3.5 total goals at 21/20

Opta match facts

Sean Dyche: The 47-year-old hoping Burnley can bounce back from a bad run
  • Burnley have won just one of their eight Premier League games against Liverpool (D1 L6), beating them 2-0 at Turf Moor in August 2016.
  • After keeping a clean sheet in six successive league games against Burnley, Liverpool have conceded at least once in each of their last four against them.
  • All seven of Liverpool’s Premier League goals at Turf Moor have come in the second half of matches.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League matches played on Wednesday (W11 D5), since a 1-3 loss at Stoke on Boxing Day 2012.
  • Liverpool have won just one of their last seven Premier League away games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (D2 L4), though it was their last such match at Huddersfield in October.
  • Burnley have conceded 12 goals in their six home league games so far this season – it took them 15 games to concede 12 goals at Turf Moor last term, shipping just 17 at home across the whole season.
  • Liverpool have conceded just five goals in their 14 Premier League games this season – only once in the history of the top-flight have a conceded fewer at this stage of a campaign (Chelsea, 4 in 2008-09).
  • Liverpool’s haul of 36 points this season is their second highest ever tally after 14 top-flight games, with only the 38 amassed in 1990-91 beating it.
  • Burnley keeper Joe Hart has conceded more Premier League goals against Liverpool than he has vs any other side (33).
  • This will be Burnley boss Sean Dyche’s 300th league game as a manager (currently P299 W113 D91 L95).

Everton v Newcastle

Liverpool v Everton in the Premier League at Anfield

Two sides who were previously on good runs and beaten at the weekend, and the feeling is Everton will come out on top.

Newcastle had shot up the bottom half of the table with three successive wins, but we correctly predicted their home defeat to West Ham at the weekend and the Magpies face a tough task here against a club who they have struggled against in recent years.

Marco Silva's side, although they were beaten at Liverpool after Jordan Pickford's error gifted Divock Origi a winner, had plenty of positives to take from their performance at Anfield including man of the match Andre Gomes.

The midfielder, on loan from Barcelona, ran the show in the centre of the park and was especially unfortunate to be on the losing team. He is yet to score for Everton in six Premier League appearances and an 11/2 price for him to bag here, after Sunday's performance, looks like a good price for a small stake.

The Toffees are improving under Silva and part of their progress has been down to their home form, with four successive wins at Goodison Park. With five a possibility, it is about finding value and that could be in a half-time/full-time bet.

The Blues have been drawing at the interval and winning at full-time in all four of those recent wins in front of their home fans and a repeat outcome is available at just over 3/1 with some bookmakers.

With that also in mind, backing the second half to have the most goals at around evens gives you a good price which has no reliance on the final outcome.

Super 6 prediction: Everton 2-1 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Half with most goals - second at 11/10

Opta match facts

Newcastle players celebrate
  • Everton have won eight of their last nine Premier League games against Newcastle (L1), including each of the last five in a row without conceding a single goal.
  • Newcastle have won just one of their last 14 Premier League visits to Goodison Park to face Everton (D3 L10), winning 1-0 in September 2010 thanks to a Hatem Ben Arfa strike.
  • Premier League meetings between Everton and Newcastle have seen more penalty goals than any other fixture in the competition (18).
  • Everton have won their last four Premier League home games, netting nine goals and conceding just one in return.
  • Everton are unbeaten in their last seven midweek matches in the Premier League (W4 D3), since losing 0-3 at Sunderland in May 2016.
  • Newcastle haven’t won a midweek Premier League match since December 2013 (5-1 vs Stoke), drawing eight and losing nine played on a Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday since.
  • After beating Burnley 2-1 at Turf Moor in their last away league outing, Newcastle will be looking for back-to-back away wins in the Premier League for only the second time under Rafael Benitez, last doing so in January 2018.
  • Newcastle manager Rafael Benitez has won 10 of this 16 Premier League games against Everton (D2 L4); only against West Ham (11) has he won more matches in the competition.
  • Everton’s Theo Walcott has had a hand in more Premier League goals against Newcastle than he has vs any other side (10 – 5 goals, 5 assists).
  • Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has had a hand in five goals in his last five Premier League home games (4 goals, 1 assist).

Fulham v Leicester

Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic scores against Southampton last time out at Craven Cottage

Claudio Ranieri comes up against Leicester for the first time since leaving the club in 2017.

He is a Foxes legend after their title heroics, but the new Fulham manager will be under no illusions for this one as they look to secure back-to-back wins at Craven Cottage.

Their loss against local rivals Chelsea at the weekend was a bit of a free hit, considering the Blues' stature, and they have no reasons to fear a Leicester side set to be without Jamie Vardy who is out with a groin injury.

Ranieri will also be hopeful Fulham can get a first clean sheet of the season, but anything can happen here and the preference in the betting is to stay clear of the match result.

While chances are expected at both ends, Leicester's creativity, with a three of Marc Albrighton, Demarai Gray and James Maddison behind Kelechi Iheanacho, could create more opportunities and the price of 5/4 for the visitors to have more corners catches the eye. Only Burnley and Brighton have taken fewer corners than Fulham this term, while Leicester are around mid table in the corner standings with around five on average per game.

Another option for greater odds is Calum Chambers to be carded at a best price of 4/1. The on-loan 23-year-old has been playing further forward in a midfield role and he impressed in the defeat at Chelsea. He already has two bookings to his name and commits over than a foul per game. In a more advanced role against a dangerous midfield, he could be caught out and forced into a foul worthy of a caution from referee David Coote, who tends to hand out a few yellows per game.

Super 6 prediction: Fulham 1-1 Leicester (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

Best bet: Calum Chambers to be carded at 4/1

Opta match facts

James Maddison bounced back from his red card by scoring for Leicester against Watford
  • This will be the first league game between Fulham and Leicester since the 2003-04 Premier League campaign, when Fulham won both meetings 2-0.
  • Leicester City haven’t won away at Fulham in any competition since a second-tier game in April 1983, drawing one and losing three of their visits since.
  • Leicester City won the last meeting of any kind against Fulham, beating them 4-3 at the King Power Stadium in a League Cup match in October 2013.
  • Fulham are without a clean sheet in 18 Premier League games, conceding 46 goals in the competition since beating Norwich 1-0 in April 2014.
  • Leicester are unbeaten in five Premier League games (W2 D3), last going longer without defeat in the competition in May 2016 (12 games) during their title-winning campaign under now-Fulham manager Claudio Ranieri.
  • Fulham are looking to secure consecutive home wins in the Premier League for the first time since April 2013.
  • Fulham have shipped 35 goals in their 14 league games this season – only Barnsley in 1997-98 (40) have conceded more at this stage of a Premier League campaign.
  • Current Fulham boss Claudio Ranieri will face Leicester City for the first time since leaving them in February 2017. The Italian oversaw the Foxes for 63 Premier League games and led them to their only top-flight league title by winning the Premier League in 2015-16.
  • Fulham’s Aleksandr Mitrovic has scored five goals in his last five Premier League home games.

Wolves v Chelsea

Pedro celebrates his goal for Chelsea against Fulham

Nuno Espirito Santo's Wolves will be attempting to end a six-match winless run, but Chelsea are on the list of teams they would prefer not to be facing in such form.

Wanderers held leaders Man City to a draw at Molineux early in the season, but performances and results have long since gone and on Wednesday they will be without the suspended Ruben Neves in midfield. Granted, they have faced Spurs and Arsenal, but also teams fighting survival such as Cardiff, Huddersfield and Brighton. Nuno's side face a big month which could decide whether they are looking upwards or nervously over their shoulder for the rest of the season.

Given their recent performances, it is difficult to see them stealing all three points from Maurizio Sarri's side and a best price of 20/23 for an away win still looks appealing. Adding above 1.5 goals into the equation boosts odds to 13/10 - now we are talking.

Like most, Wolves will be keen to keep Eden Hazard quiet and this could allow Alvaro Morata to make dangerous runs in behind the defence. The Spaniard is expected to return to the starting XI and he is 11/4 in a score-and-win double. He averages over two shots per game and will be hoping to make amends for a couple of misses after coming off the bench against Fulham, but the important thing is that he is getting into these positions and getting the chances.

The former Real Madrid and Juventus striker - 9/5 anytime - has not scored in the Premier League since the start of November, hence the higher price, but he can get a sixth league goal of the season against an out of form defence.

Super 6 prediction: Wolves 0- 2 Chelsea (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Alvaro Morata to score and Chelsea to win at 11/4

Opta match facts

Nuno Espirito Santo and Neil Warnock in discussion
  • Wolves have lost seven of their eight Premier League games against Chelsea, winning only in January 2011 at Molineux (1-0).
  • Chelsea have scored at least twice in all seven of their Premier League victories against Wolves, netting 23 goals in total.
  • Chelsea have won their last four meetings with Wolves in all competitions by an aggregate score of 13-1.
  • Chelsea have lost just one of their last 13 away league games against promoted sides (W10 D2), though it was in their last such match against Newcastle last season. They’ve not lost consecutive away games vs promoted sides since December 1999 (vs Watford and Sunderland).
  • Wolves have already lost six of their 14 Premier League games this season, just one short of their total defeats in the entirety of their Championship winning campaign in 2017-18 (seven in 46 games).
  • Chelsea – who lost their last away league game against Spurs – are looking to avoid back-to-back away defeats in the Premier League for the first time since March.
  • Wolves have lost their last three Premier League games at Molineux, last losing four on the bounce on home soil in league competition in November 2016.
  • Wolves’ last seven home goals in the Premier League have all been scored after half-time – their last first half goal came on the opening weekend against Everton (Ruben Neves).
  • Only Raheem Sterling (14) has been directly involved in more Premier League goals this season than Chelsea’s Eden Hazard (12 - 7 goals, 5 assists).
  • Chelsea’s Pedro has scored more league goals in 12 appearances this season (5) than he netted in 31 league matches in the whole of 2017-18 (4).

Tottenham v Southampton

Eric Dier celebrates his goal for Tottenham in the north London derby

A derby defeat, naturally, brings disappointment to Spurs but the best thing for them is another match days later to put things right.

The north Londoners have a good fixture to do so, with the managerless Saints travelling to Wembley. Ralph Hasenhuttl, at the time of writing, is not yet appointed but expected to be named as Mark Hughes' replacement and could be among the spectators for Wednesday's match.

That should not stop Spurs though, who before Sunday had been in impressive form with six consecutive victories and if they want to prove their credentials as a top four side they need to be winning fixtures like this.

Pochettino's men are heavy favourites to come out on top against his old side, so finding value can be slightly difficult. A RequestABet with online bookmaker Sky Bet catches the eye though, with 2/1 looking like great odds for the hosts to score two or more and take at least five corners, with 20+ booking points for the hosts.

Pochettino could shuffle his pack, with Toby Alderweireld (Jan Vertonghen is suspended), Danny Rose, Harry Winks and Lucas Moura all pushing for a start.

With Alderweireld's aerial presence from set pieces, the 14/1 anytime price for him to get on the score sheet is tempting, but the 2/1 RAB is preferred as Spurs look to get back to winning ways.

Super 6 prediction: Tottenham 3-1 Southampton (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)

Best bet: Tottenham to score 2+ goals, 5+ Tottenham corners and 20+ Southampton booking points at 2/1

Opta match facts

Stuart Armstrong celebrates his goal for Southampton against Manchester United
  • Tottenham have won eight of their last 10 home league games against Southampton, losing in September 2003 and May 2016.
  • Since returning to the Premier League in 2012, Southampton have won just one of their 12 Premier League meetings with Spurs (D2 L9), winning 2-1 at White Hart Lane in May 2016.
  • Tottenham have had three different hat-trick scorers in the Premier League against Southampton (Steffen Iversen, Jermain Defoe and Harry Kane). Only Arsenal vs Leicester and Man Utd vs Newcastle (4 each) have had more against a single opponent in the competition.
  • Southampton are winless in 12 games in all competitions since beating Crystal Palace 2-0 in September (D7 L5), their longest run since May-October 1998 (13).
  • Since the start of last season, Southampton have dropped 33 points from winning positions in the Premier League – at least seven more than any other side.
  • Tottenham have scored a league-high nine headed goals in the Premier League this season. However, no team have conceded more headers than Mauricio Pochettino’s side (6).
  • Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored six goals in his last five Premier League games against Southampton, including a hat-trick in this exact fixture last season.
  • Tottenham’s Dele Alli has had a hand in eight goals in five Premier League games against Southampton (5 goals, 3 assists), more than he has vs any other side.
  • Stuart Armstrong has scored three goals in his last two league games for Southampton and could become the first player to score in three consecutive Premier League appearances for Saints since Manolo Gabbiadini in March 2017.
  • Southampton boss Mark Hughes has lost his last four Premier League meetings with Spurs, losing by a four-goal margin each time (all with Stoke between April 2016 and December 2017).

Odds correct as of 1500 GMT on 04/12/18

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