Rodrigo: Valencia forward celebrates his goal against Chelsea in the Champions League at Stamford Bridge

LaLiga betting tips: Free football tips & previews for Spanish LaLiga games including Eibar v Valencia

By Sporting Life

Football

Thu June 25, 2020 · 4y ago

Mark Stinchcombe has two best bets from the midweek LaLiga action including Eibar v Valencia.

Recommended bets

2pts Madrid to win to nil 5/6

2pts Valencia Draw No Bet 4/5

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Eibar v Valencia

Thursday 6.30pm LaLiga TV

An evenly priced game between two teams it’s difficult to side with. Eibar have won just one game in 10 and Valencia have won just three away games all season. Eibar sit in 17th, three points clear of the relegation zone having won only seven games. Valencia sit eighth and, with just three points separating fifth to eighth, they’re in a battle to qualify for Europe.

Again looking at the no fans angle and the quick turnaround in days, this is Eibar’s fourth game in 11 days compared to Valencia’s fourth game in 13 days. I’m therefore going to side with the stronger squad.

Eibar lack a bit of an offensive identity. Either lining up in a 4-4-2 or a 4-2-3-1, as manager Jose Mendilibar regularly chops and changes up front. Sergi Enrich has started 19 games but has scored just one goal. Charles and Kike have 10 goals between them but have started 27 games together on the bench. Top scorer is attacking midfielder Fabian Orellana with eight goals but half of those have come from the penalty spot and he only averages 1.5 shots per-game.

Valencia named a strong team in the 2-0 defeat of Osasuna at the weekend but were still able to call upon Kevin Gameiro, Ferran Torres, Denis Cheryshev and Daniel Wass in reserve if needed. There’s no doubting their individual quality is a level or two above Eibar - as showcased by Goncalo Guides' fine solo goal before later laying one on a plate for Rodrigo.

The first 30 minutes could go a long way to deciding this match with 18 of Eibar’s 24 first half goals conceded (75%) coming during this period and Valencia going on to win 10 of 17 matches where they have scored first, losing just twice.

Best Bet: Valencia Draw No Bet 4/5

Price Boost: Maxi Gomez to score first at 6/1

Wednesday's preview

Real Madrid v Mallorca

Wednesday 9pm LaLiga TV

After Barcelona went back in front again, Real Madrid aim to reclaim top spot in what is turning into an epic LaLiga title race on Wednesday night.

And they'll more than fancy their chances as they play the team with the worst away record in the division. Real Madrid have won 11 of their 15 home games and host a Real Mallorca side who’ve lost 11 of their 14 on the road. To further emphasise the gap in quality the goal differential stands at +42 combined. Real will go level on points again with Barca if they win, but crucially hold that head-to-head advantage. As for Mallorca, they sit in 18th, three points off safety having lost 11 of their last 17 matches.

This will be Mallorca’s fourth game in 11 days and I’m of the belief bigger squads will cope much, much better with these tight schedules. After months off a few weeks of restricted training sessions are not enough to reach full match fitness and smaller squads will suffer without being able to rotate. Madrid were able to start all of Hazard, Bale, Rodrygo, Asensio, Modric and Mendy on the bench at the weekend. As a result I’m looking at opposing Mallorca going forward.

They’ve failed to score in eight of their last 13 games and in the reverse fixture, which they actually won 1-0, they only had five shots, returning a total xG of just 0.25. Defensively, Madrid concede the second fewest shots per game in the league and just 7.4 at home.

As a result I’m looking at Real to win to nil. Los Blancos have actually been level at the break in 18 of their 30 games, the second most, so it could be a bit of a slow burner as we've seen in other games since the return. It’s five times the price of just winning the game, and it looks a way to make a 1/6 shot work.

Zinedine Zidane’s men have won 16 of their last 21 home games.

Best Bet: Madrid to win to nil 5/6

Price Boost: Real madrid to win 2-0 at 7/1

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