Luke Littler and Michael van Gerwen (Picture: PDC/Michael Cooper)

Premier League Darts 2024: Night 10 predictions, betting tips, acca, order of play and Sky Sports TV time

By Chris Hammer

Darts

Thu April 04, 2024 · 7M ago

The BetMGM Premier League Darts regular season continues in Manchester on Thursday so check out Chris Hammer's match-by-match guide to the action.

Darts betting tips: Premier League Night 10

1pt Cross to win and Aspinall to hit most 180s at 7/2 (Sky Bet)

1pt over 8.5 legs, checkout over 100.5 and over 5.5 total 180s in Littler v MVG at 11/8 (Sky Bet)

1pt Luke Humphries to win score over 2.5 180s and have a checkout over 81.5 at 11/8 (Sky Bet)

1pt Price to win, to hit most 180s and highest checkout at 15/8 (Paddy Power)

SL Acca: 1pt Cross, Littler, Humphries (-1.5) and Price all to win at 13/2 with Sky Bet

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Thursday April 4: Night 10

TV Coverage: Sky Sports (1900 GMT)
Format: Quarter-Finals, best of 11 legs
Venue: AO Arena, Manchester

Nathan Aspinall v Rob Cross (3/1)

Head to Head: 9-8 (TV: 7-5)
2024 PL Average: 95.41 - 97.38
2024 PL 180s per leg: 0.25 - 0.23
2024 PL checkout percentage: 36.33% - 38.98%
2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 13.63% - 13.04%

One of the main downsides to the Premier League format is the amount of times we see the same fixtures and Rob Cross must be particularly sick of the sight of Nathan Aspinall having lost all four of their matches this season.

Two of those defeats have come in the past three weeks but he's not played badly in either of them, averaging around 100 in both of the 6-5 defeats and just catching the Asp on his better nights.

Voltage suffered a third successive quarter-final loss to Peter Wright last Thursday but if he continues to play to his consistently high levels then he'll get back to winning ways soon enough - starting in Manchester.

The Asp has picked up eight points across the last three weeks thanks to a couple of final runs and another quarter-final win so he's well positioned right now and also boasts a higher 180 per leg rate than Cross.

While he may boss the maximum count this time, I'm going to side with Voltage to get a long-awaited win and boost his top-four hopes.

Verdict: 4-6

CLICK HERE to bet on Nathan Aspinall v Rob Cross with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE to back Cross to win and Aspinall to hit most 180s with Sky Bet

ALSO WATCH: NEW TOURNAMENT IDEAS IN DARTS

Do we need more variety in darts? Five new tournament ideas including Royal Rumble and Ryder Cup!

Luke Littler v Michael van Gerwen (8/11)

Head to Head: 3-3 (TV: 3-3)
2024 PL Average: 100.12 - 99.34
2024 PL 180s per leg: 0.33 - 0.30
2024 PL checkout percentage: 36.90% - 46.24%
2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 9.67% - 11.25%

If you thought every darts crowd has been playing to Luke Littler's tune so far in his short career, just imagine what it'll be like in Manchester if he can win a second Premier League night in a row.

Even if one of Manchester United's most famous fans beats Michael van Gerwen in a quarter-final then we'll see a sea of pandemonium and from what we've seen so far, Littler is already a natural at handling crowd expectancy and pressure.

In fact, pressure doesn't even seem to exist in Littler's world.

The 17-year-old defeated Luke Humphries, MVG and Nathan Aspinall to pick up his first nightly success of his debut season and move into second place overall while he's now averaging over 100 along with Humphries.

Click on the image to get this great boost

That in itself is remarkable after 18 matches when you consider that's more than anyone would play in the old format. In those days only six different players averaged over 100 for an entire season (Phil Taylor, MVG, Gary Anderson, Dave Chisnall, Jose de Sousa and Dimitri Van den Bergh) and at this rate Humphries and Littler look as though they can maintain it for many more games to come.

Crucially, MVG isn't actually too far behind them on 99.34 despite his shoulder struggles and poor results in recent weeks and his form has started to pick up again so he certainly shouldn't be written off by any means.

He reached the German Darts Grand Prix final on Easter Monday before being blown away by an unplayable Humphries so this could be a very close, high quality showdown that we're all hoping for.

They are both prolific on the 180s front and if we see at least nine legs then there should be plenty of maximums and you'd expect to see a 100+ checkout for good measure.

Verdict: 6-5

CLICK HERE to bet on Luke Littler v Michael van Gerwen with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE to back over 8.5 legs, highest checkout to be over 100.5 and over 5.5 total 180s with Sky Bet

ALSO WATCH: HOW TO BECOME A DARTS PROFESSIONAL

How to Become a Darts Professional!

Michael Smith v Luke Humphries (11/10)

Head to Head: 6-9 (TV: 3-4)
2024 PL Average: 96.94 - 102.55
2024 PL 180s per leg: 0.38 - 0.38
2024 PL checkout percentage: 38.31% - 43.03%
2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 12.98% - 10.47%

Luke Humphries should really start walking out to 'Unstoppable (Unless I'm playing Luke Littler)' by Sia if this relentless level of form is going to continue for many more months and years to come.

Cool Hand fittingly produced darts from the gods across the Easter weekend as he averaged over 107 for his five matches at the German Darts Grand Prix, including an insane 112.66 during an 8-1 drubbing of Michael van Gerwen in the final.

Humphries has averaged over 100 in 14 of his last 17 matches and the lowest he's recorded is a very respectable 95.53 that was enough to win one of his three Premier League finals in the past month.

In that aforementioned run of 17 matches, he's lost twice. His first came against Ryan Searle on the European Tour and then his nemesis Littler defeated in last week's Premier League quarter-final.

That was the fourth time in a row that the Nuke had beaten him since the World Championship final, with three of them coming in the Premier League, but apart from the 17-year-old sensation, nobody else is really laying a finger on him.

As well as the wins and averages - take a look at his leg difference in the Premier League. It's +33. To highlight how insane that is after nine weeks, the second best is Luke Littler with +9!

This is the kind of dominance level that helped Phil Taylor and MVG sweep the board with majors during their peak years and if Humphries can ever repeat that in an era where the overall standard is so much higher, it'll be a spectacular achievement.

As for Michael Smith, well he's enjoyed a pretty solid year so far but the only area he can challenge Humphries on Thursday night is the 180s battle due to their matching maximum per leg ratios this season.

Verdict: 2-6

CLICK HERE to bet on Michael Smith v Luke Humphries with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE to back Humphries to win score over 2.5 180s and have a checkout over 81.5 with Sky Bet

ALSO WATCH: HOW MUCH DO DARTS PLAYERS EARN?

HOW MUCH MONEY DO DARTS PLAYERS EARN AND CAN TOP PROS BECOME MILLIONAIRES?

Gerwyn Price v Peter Wright (2/1)

Head to Head: 14-24, 1 draw (TV: 11-12, 1 draw)
2024 PL Average: 98.84 - 93.24
2024 PL 180s per leg: 0.29 - 0.25
2024 PL checkout percentage: 39.16% - 30.95%
2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 17.85% - 2.56%

They say averages are 'just a guide' but in the case of Gerwyn Price they're extremely misleading.

A seasonal average of 98.84 - which is the fourth best and not too far behind Michael van Gerwen - would 'guide' us into thinking he's enjoying a strong season and probably in the the top four.

But the reality is that Price is preparing for a basement battle with Peter Wright in Manchester, with both players quickly losing touch with the play-off contenders.

Even if Price won his first night, at best he'd move up one place to sixth and still be a minimum of four points behind the top four.

Wright's top-four aspirations are even worse having picked up just two match wins all season and one of those came against Price three weeks ago by a 6-5 scoreline - but his form levels are generally much higher than they were at the start of the campaign.

Price got the better of him during the recent European Tour event in Munich and I fancy the Iceman to make it two wins in a row on Thursday night.

His 180 per leg rate is superior and he's also hitting 100+ checkouts at a much greater rate than Snakebite, so the Match Treble is certainly a good option here.

Verdict: 6-3

CLICK HERE to bet on Gerwyn Price v Peter Wright with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE to back Price to win, to hit most 180s and highest checkout with Sky Bet

Premier League Darts 2024: Averages, 180s and checkout statistics

TOURNAMENT AVERAGE After week 9

Luke Humphries: 102.55
Luke Littler: 100.12
Michael van Gerwen: 99.34
Gerwyn Price: 98.84
Rob Cross: 97.38
Michael Smith: 96.94
Nathan Aspinall: 95.41
Peter Wright: 93.24

MOST 180s & 180s PER LEG After week 9

Luke Humphries: 68 (177 legs, 0.38 per leg)
Michael Smith: 60 (159 legs, 0.38)
Luke Littler: 59 (177 legs, 0.33)
Michael van Gerwen: 48 (158 legs, 0.30)
Nathan Aspinall: 44 (177 legs, 0.25)
Gerwyn Price: 37 (126 legs, 0.29)
Rob Cross: 33 (141 legs, 0.23)
Peter Wright: 25 (101 legs, 0.25)

DOUBLES AND CHECKOUT PERCENTAGE After week 9

Michael van Gerwen: 46.24% (80/173)
Luke Humphries: 43.03% (105/244)
Gerwyn Price: 39.16% (56/143)
Rob Cross: 38.98% (69/177)
Michael Smith: 38.31% (77/201)
Luke Littler: 36.90% (93/252)
Nathan Aspinall: 36.33% (89/245)
Peter Wright: 30.95% (39/126)

100+ CHECKOUTS, HIGHEST CHECKOUTS & % LEGS WON WITH 100+ CHECKOUT After week 9

Nathan Aspinall: 12 (13.63% legs won with 100+ checkout)
100+ Checkouts: 170, 160x2, 144, 127, 122, 121, 120, 114, 104, 100x2
Luke Humphries: 11 (10.47%)
100+ Checkouts: 148, 143, 130x2, 121, 120, 117, 116, 108, 105, 104
Michael Smith: 10 (12.98%)
100+ Checkouts: 170, 146, 125, 122x2, 120x3, 113, 107
Gerwyn Price: 10 (17.85%)
100+ Checkouts: 170, 160, 124, 120x2, 117x2, 115, 103, 100
Rob Cross: 9 (13.04%)
100+ Checkouts: 144x2, 132, 129, 121, 116, 110, 109, 100
Michael van Gerwen: 9 (11.25%)
100+ Checkouts: 150, 144, 136, 132, 127, 120, 110, 107
Luke Littler: 9 (9.67%)
100+ Checkouts: 170, 140, 138, 136, 130, 125, 110, 103, 100
Peter Wright: 1 (2.56%)
100+ Checkouts: 156,